North Korea's questionable
ICBM "Hwasong-16" (HS-16)
"bolstering up the reliable strategic
Norbert Brügge, Germany
2020, October 10 --
That is it, the Hwasong-16 with a diameter
of 3.0 m (!!). We are can be sure to see the first stage of Unha-X here (as
was to be expected).
An exact comparison is here difficult, but the difference
in diameter from 2.4 to 3.0 m can be clearly seen
Like the HS-15, the Hwasong-16
is not a real ICBM. Both are the stages for the new SLV "Unha-X". The
HS-16 here has an unusually oversized fairing including the second stage,
which, like the transporter, suggests an modeling for the parade.We should
not be fooled by the details on the surface.
The HS-16 is without engines about 27.0 m long. The first stage is about
17.5 m long, with a diameter of 3.0 m. The shown mock-up has no engines.
The relevant section at the end of the rocket, which is short and slightly
conical, is covered by pots painted in red. As a result, we still do not
know how many engines the Unha-X will have.
However, my analysis of photos revealed that there
are six pots covering six holes for engines. To see are three pots (see
2019, Dec. 13 -- "Another cruicial test was successful conducted at
the Sohae SLG from 22.41 to 22.48 on December 13. The research successes
being registered by us in defence science one after another recently
will be applied to further bolstering up the reliable strategic nuclear
deterrent of the DPRK.”
2019, Dec. 07 -- "A very important test took place at the Sohae SLG
on the afternoon of December 7. The Academy of the National Defence
Scienc of the DPRK made a report on the successful test of great significance
to the Central Commitee of the Worker's Party."
So far there is no further information or photos, but we can guess
what will happen:
The first stage of the upcoming new Unha-X SLV with 3 x 2 "Pektusan-A2"
engines was subjected to a static test for the first time. This stage
is undoubtedly usable for a real ICBM, which we will see in the near
future. Due to the dimensions of this vehicle ("HS-16"), the pad on
the Sohae SLG probably will be use, where also the undetected static
tests took place at night.
This is what the HS-16 ICBM and its rear could